The Importance of Direct Routes for Air Travel Itinerary Choices: Results from a Stated Preference Choice Experiment

Authors

  • Milan L. Moleman Delft University of Technology
  • Maarten Kroesen Delft University of Technology https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6623-9848
  • Toon Zijlstra KiM Netherlands Institute for Transport Policy Analysis
  • Roel M. Faber KiM Netherlands Institute for Transport Policy Analysis

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.59490/ejtir.2024.24.3.7268

Keywords:

Choice modelling, Latent class logit, Nested logit, Air travellers, Route choice

Abstract

Over the past years, aviation policies are more and more focussed on sustainability rather than connectivity, putting pressure on airlines to re-design the network. For this, evaluating air travellers their preferences on direct routing compared to lay-overs is needed to make well-informed design choices. This paper examines the preferences of air travellers on direct itineraries by applying a data-driven approach. To this end, a stated preference choice experiment is developed and implemented in an online survey. The results of the latent class choice model show two types of flyers with different preferences, labelled as time sensitive and price sensitive flyers. The model outcomes indicate that both are willing to pay for direct itineraries, while time sensitive flyers are willing to pay substantially more. Other flight characteristics also play an important role in air travellers’ route choice, such as the distance to the airport, travel time, and transfer time. Travel motive, ticket price compensation by the employer, and experience with layovers drive whether air travellers belong to the time or price sensitive flyers. The distinction between time and price sensitive flyers and their preferences is expected to yield more tailored transport policies than a distinction between, for instance, business and non-business. Future research should focus on the societal impact of a reduction in direct itineraries for air travellers, using insights gained in this study.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Metrics

Metrics Loading ...

References

Araghi, Y., Kroesen, M., Molin, E., & van Wee, B. (2014). Do social norms regarding carbon offsetting affect individual preferences towards this policy? Results from a stated choice experiment. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 26(6), 42-46.

Araghi, Y., Kroesen, M., Molin, E., & Van Wee, B. (2016). Revealing heterogeneity in air travelers' responses to passenger-oriented environmental policies: A discrete-choice latent class model. International Journal of Sustainable Transportation, 10(9), 765-772.

Bliemer, M., Rose, J.M., & Hensher, D.A (2009). Efficient stated choice experiments for estimating nested logit models. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 43(1), 19–35.

Bliemer, M.C.J., & Collins, A.T. (2016). On determining priors for the generation of efficient stated choice experimental designs. Journal of Choice Modelling, 21, 10-14.

Chen, H. T., & Chao, C. C. (2015). Airline choice by passengers from Taiwan and China: A case study of outgoing passengers from Kaohsiung International Airport. Journal of Air Transport Management, 49(8), 53-63.

Coldren, G. M., & Koppelman, F. S. (2005). Modeling the competition among air-travel itinerary shares: GEV model development. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 39(4), 345-365.

Decisio. (2015). Economisch belang van de mainport Schiphol (Economic interest of the mainport Schiphol). https://decisio.nl/wp-content/uploads/Economisch-belang-mainport-Schiphol.pdf

Decisio. (2020). Actualisatie economische betekenis Schiphol (Update on economic meaning Schiphol). https://decisio.nl/wp- content/uploads/Economisch-belang-mainport-Schiphol.pdf

De Luca, S. (2012). Modelling airport choice behaviour for direct flights, connecting flights and different travel plans. Journal of Transport Geography, 22(16), 148-163.

Dutch Environmental Data Compendium. (2021, December 15). Luchtvaartnetwerk van Schiphol, 2004 – 2020. https://www.clo.nl/indicatoren/nl215706-luchtvaartnetwerk-van-schiphol-2004-2020

Dutch Ministry of Infrastructure and Water Management. (2021, December 8). Verantwoord vliegen naar 2050, Luchtvaartnota 2020 – 2050. https://www.rijksoverheid.nl/documenten/rapporten/2020/11/20/bijlage-1-luchtvaartnota-2020-2050

Dutch Ministry of Infrastructure and Water Management. (2022, June 24). Hoofdlijnenbrief Schiphol. https://www.rijksoverheid.nl/documenten/kamerstukken/2022/06/24/hoofdlijnenbrief-schiphol

Ennen, D., Allroggen, F., & Malina, R. (2019). Non-stop versus connecting air services: Airfares, costs, and consumers’ willingness to pay. MIT International Center for Air Transportation. https://dspace.mit.edu/bitstream/handle/1721.1/121459/ICAT-2019-3_Florian.pdf

Herring, J., Lurkin, V., Garrow, L. A., Clarke, J. P., & Bierlaire, M. (2019). Airline customers’ connection time preferences in domestic US markets. Journal of Air Transport Management, 79, 101688.

Hess, S., & Adler, T. (2011). An analysis of trends in air travel behaviour using four related SP datasets collected between 2000 and 2005. Journal of Air Transport Management, 17(4), 244-248.

Hess, S., & Palma, D. (2019). Apollo: A flexible, powerful and customisable freeware package for choice model estimation and application. Journal of Choice Modelling, 32.

Hsiao, C. Y., & Hansen, M. (2011). A passenger demand model for air transportation in a hub-and-spoke network. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 47(6), 1112-1125.

Johnson, D., Hess, S., & Matthews, B. (2014). Understanding air travellers' trade-offs between connecting flights and surface access characteristics. Journal of Air Transport Management, 34(11), 70-77.

KiM Netherlands Institute for Transport Policy Research. (2018, March 22). De Vliegende Hollander (The Flying Dutchman). https://www.kimnet.nl/publicaties/rapporten/2018/03/22/de-vliegende-hollander

KiM Netherlands Institute for Transport Policy Research. (2021, November 23). Zakelijk vliegen. https://www.kimnet.nl/publicaties/publicaties/2021/11/23/zakelijk-vliegen-de-reiziger-de-reizen-de-motieven-en-de-vooruitzichten

KiM Netherlands Institute for Transport Policy Research. (2023, July 4). Klimaatbesef en minder vliegen? https://www.kimnet.nl/publicaties/publicaties/2023/07/04/klimaatbesef-en-minder-vliegen

Koppelman, F.S., & Bhat, C. (2006). A Self Instructing Course in Mode Choice Modelling: Multinomial and Nested Logit Models. U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Transit Administration. https://its.uci.edu/~mmcnally/reports/SICMCM-UManual-K+B.pdf

Lurkin, V., Garrow, L. A., Higgins, M. J., Newman, J. P., & Schyns, M. (2018). Modeling competition among airline itineraries. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 113(11), 157-172.

McFadden, D. (1973). The measurement of urban travel demand. Journal of Public Economics, 3(4), 303-328.

McFadden, D. (1986). The Choice Theory Approach to Market Research. Marketing Science, 5(4), 275-297.

SEO Economisch Onderzoek. (2015, January 1). Economisch belang van de hubfunctie van Schiphol. https://www.seo.nl/publicaties/economisch-belang-van-de-hubfunctie-van-schiphol/

SEO Economisch Onderzoek. (2020, January 14). Het maatschappelijk belang van het Schipholnetwork. https://www.seo.nl/publicaties/het-maatschappelijk-belang-van-het-schipholnetwerk/

SEO Economisch Onderzoek. (2022, November 17). Connectiviteit in kaart. https://www.seo.nl/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/2022-81-Connectiviteit-in-kaart.pdf

Theis, G., Adler, T., Clarke, J. P., & Ben-Akiva, M. (2006). Risk aversion to short connections in airline itinerary choice. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1951(1), 28-36.

Usami, M., Manabe, M., & Kimura, S. (2017). Airport choice and flight connectivity among domestic and international passengers–Empirical analysis using passenger movement survey data in Japan. Journal of Air Transport Management, 58(3), 15-20.

Williams, H. C. W. L. (1977). On the formation of travel demand models and economic evaluation measures of user benefit. Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space, 9(3), 285-344.

Downloads

Published

2024-10-10

How to Cite

Moleman, M., Kroesen, M., Zijlstra, T., & Faber, R. (2024). The Importance of Direct Routes for Air Travel Itinerary Choices: Results from a Stated Preference Choice Experiment. European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research, 24(3), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.59490/ejtir.2024.24.3.7268

Issue

Section

Articles

Most read articles by the same author(s)

Similar Articles

<< < 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.